Corn boosts grains, breakfast beverages more affordable

Oct 12, 2012


Here is this week’s edition of Futures File, our weekly commodities wrap-up:

Break at the Breakfast Table

Unlike bacon, eggs, and toast, all of which have been on the rise as a result of this year’s drought, coffee, cocoa, orange juice, and sugar have all fallen in price this month.  Coffee and cocoa fell on fears that the European debt crisis will lower European demand for these two commodities.  Orange Juice has dropped on estimates that orange juice production will be larger than last years.  Sugar has fallen on expectations that Brazil’s sugar crop will be large.

Corn Pulls Grains Higher

Corn moved higher on Thursday morning after a bullish crop report showed that ending stockpiles of corn would be much lower than expected with a USDA estimate of 619 million bushels versus 648 million bushels expected by analysts.  In addition to lower ending corn stock piles, the USDA estimated that the average yield for corn would only be 122 bushels per acre.  Estimates for soybean ending stockpiles was also lower than expected with the USDA estimating 130 million bushels being left over versus 134 million bushels by analysts.  However, it was corn prices that influenced most of the trade on Thursday with its estimates of ending stockpiles being 4.5% lower than expected versus beans 3%.

As of midday Friday, corn for December delivery was at $7.54 per bushel, up 6.25 cents (+0.8%) on the week.

As a result of this year’s climb in soybean prices (up over 25% this year), South American farmers are hoping to capitalize on high prices by increasing planting of soybeans.  If estimates hold true, Brazil will surpass the United States as the largest producer of Soybeans in the world.

Nat Gas Rises to High of the Year

Improving economic conditions, the coming winter, and fears that Tropical Storm Patty could disrupt natural gas supplies have driven natural gas prices up to a high of the year.  Natural Gas, which is used to provide heating to millions of American households each year, may put a pinch to American family’s pocket books this year.

As of midday Friday, Natural Gas for November delivery was at $3.58 per million BTU, up 18.2 cents (+5.4%) on the week.

Opinions are solely the writer's. Breitinger & Sons LLC, a commodity futures brokerage firm in Valparaiso, IN.  They can be reached at (800) 411-3888 or This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell any market.



"This report provides direct evidence of decreased rice yields from increased night temperature associated with global warming."


That would mean a lot to me if I ate or even liked rice.


The problem isn't that Americans eat so much rice. It is that the rest of the world does. Cereal crops, for the most part, are interchangeable and trade as commodities. We have already seen what happens to to crop production this summer.

I bought chicken feed this morning and the price is already climbing, The feed was made from corn raised in the summer of 2011. This year's crop has not yet made it into production.


@ eriemom:


Closer to home:

Mr. Bernanke's money printing and low interest rate policies are helping to raise prices world-wide.